Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Something was dropped and then picked up. Step 2. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. You may think You say that to everyone!. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. dr ali binazir odds of being born. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Want to Read. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Step 1. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Those who are brave (foolish?) xx, Lets be social! The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Thats a pretty good trip. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. A lovely day to you. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. dr ali binazir odds of being born. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). So whats the probability of your existing? Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Do you know the odds of being alive? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So what's the probability of your being born? Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average.
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